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Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on August 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
0
1
Aug 16, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY Red Bulls
Aug 16, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
D. Nealis (74')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: S. Nealis replaces W. Carmona
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: W. Bogacz replaces E. M. Choupo-Moting
90'
Yellow Card
W. Bogacz (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Hall replaces E. Forsberg
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: D. Jean Jacques replaces J. Bueno
77'
Yellow Card
D. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by D. Nealis
0-1
67'
Penalty missed by B. Damiani for Philadelphia Union
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces M. Uhre
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces A. Bedoya
58'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces S. Ngoma
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces C. Donovan
28'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Rick replaces A. Blake

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Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +165, NY Red Bulls +160, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 34.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 40.1%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.3% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 40.1%, with the draw at 25.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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