St Louis City vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Chicago MLS match on August 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
2
3
Aug 16, 8:30 PM ET SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
Chicago
Aug 16, 8:30 PM ET SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
H. Cuypers (16')
Soccer ball icon
P. Zinckernagel (67')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gutierrez (88')
Soccer ball icon
T. Ostrak (48')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces P. Zinckernagel
90'
Yellow Card
R. Burki (St. Louis City) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by B. Gutierrez, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
2-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces S. Oregel
70'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces T. Ostrak
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
2-2
61'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
2-1
57'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Wallem replaces J. Orozco
57'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces H. Kessler
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Ostrak
1-1
36'
Yellow Card
M. Hartel (St. Louis City) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
0-1

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St Louis City vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: SeatGeek Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +360, Chicago -161, draw +370

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 19.6%
  • Chicago: 61.0%
  • Draw: 19.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-2 Chicago (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win St Louis City vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.0%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on St Louis City vs. Chicago, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.