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St Louis City vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Chicago at the MLS on August 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
2
3
Aug 17, 12:30AM SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
Chicago
Aug 17, 12:30AM SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
H. Cuypers (16')
Soccer ball icon
P. Zinckernagel (67')
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B. Gutierrez (88')
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T. Ostrak (48')
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M. Hartel (60')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces P. Zinckernagel
90'
Yellow Card
R. Burki (St. Louis City) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by B. Gutierrez, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
2-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces S. Oregel
70'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces T. Ostrak
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
2-2
61'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
2-1
57'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Wallem replaces J. Orozco
57'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces H. Kessler
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Ostrak
1-1
36'
Yellow Card
M. Hartel (St. Louis City) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
0-1

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St Louis City vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: SeatGeek Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +360, Chicago -161, draw +370

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 19.6%
  • Chicago: 61.0%
  • Draw: 19.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-2 Chicago, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.6% probability, while Chicago sits at 61.0%, with the draw at 19.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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