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Toronto vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Toronto vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on August 9, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
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Aug 9, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Aug 9, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
I. Vassilev (4')
D. Kerr (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Kerr, assisted by M. Henry
1-1
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces D. Mihailovic
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces R. Petretta
K. Thompson (Toronto FC) cautioned
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces Q. Sullivan
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces I. Vassilev
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Lukic replaces J. Bueno
D. Kerr (Toronto FC) cautioned
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces O. Brynhildsen
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces T. Corbeanu
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces B. Damiani
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Iloski replaces T. Baribo
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Dominguez replaces A. Coello
R. Petretta (Toronto FC) cautioned
J. Glesnes (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev, assisted by T. Baribo
0-1
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Toronto vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Toronto vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Toronto vs. Philadelphia
- Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Subaru Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toronto +800, Philadelphia -278, draw +400
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+135)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Toronto: 12.6%
- Philadelphia: 67.9%
- Draw: 19.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toronto 0-2 Philadelphia, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Toronto is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 12.6% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 67.9%, with the draw at 19.6%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Toronto vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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