NY City vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Sporting KC MLS game on July 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

NY City

Jul 20, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)

Sporting KC

Jul 20, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Sporting KCSKC

Score Summary

NY CityNYC

D. Salloi (74')

A. Perea (22')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

SKC

0.0%

Draw

100.0%

NYC

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

87'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces S. Suleymanov

77'

Substitution for New York City: S. Musu replaces J. Fernandez

77'

Substitution for New York City: S. Garfield Reid replaces A. Martinez

76'

Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces K. O'Toole

74'

Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi

1-1

67'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces J. Bartlett

67'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces M. Garcia

66'

J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

65'

Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces J. Shore

47'

Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces A. Brody

46'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces N. Radoja

22'

Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea

1-0

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NY City vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: NY City vs. Sporting KC
Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: NY City +150, Sporting KC +170, Draw +260
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-170/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

NY City: 37.4%
Sporting KC: 39.0%
Draw: 23.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is NY City 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 39.0%, while NY City has a win probability of 37.4%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our NY City vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.