NY City vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Dallas MLS game on July 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

NY City

Jul 26, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

Dallas

Jul 26, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

DallasFCD

Score Summary

NY CityNYC

P. Musa (15')

L. Farrington (17')

L. Farrington (45')

J. Shore (11')

A. Martinez (22')

A. Martinez (46')

A. Martinez (84')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

FCD

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

NYC

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned

90'

Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces M. Moralez

84'

Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez

4-3

80'

Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces L. Farrington

80'

Substitution for FC Dallas: M. Farfan replaces O. Urhoghide

73'

A. Perea (New York City) cautioned

61'

Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Acosta replaces P. Delgado

61'

Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Lletget replaces Ramiro

61'

Substitution for New York City: N. Mercau replaces H. Wolf

46'

Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces M. Ilenic

46'

Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces J. Shore

46'

Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Cappis replaces J. Torquato

46'

Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez, assisted by H. Wolf

3-3

45'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington

2-3

31'

J. Haak (New York City) cautioned

25'

J. Torquato (FC Dallas) cautioned

22'

Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez, assisted by M. Moralez

2-2

17'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington, assisted by Ramiro

1-2

15'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by P. Delgado

1-1

11'

Goal scored for New York City by J. Shore, assisted by M. Moralez

1-0

Game Prediction Article

Jason Bevilacqua

Jul 25, 2025

FC Dallas vs. New York City Prediction, Odds, Picks, and MLS Season Pass Discount Code [7/25/2025]

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NY City vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: NY City vs. Dallas
Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: NY City +160, Dallas +165, Draw +250
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

NY City: 34.0%
Dallas: 41.9%
Draw: 24.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is NY City 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 41.9%, while NY City has a win probability of 34.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.1%.

Summary

Our NY City vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.