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Seattle vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Seattle vs. Sporting KC MLS game on July 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Seattle
3
2
Jul 13, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Jul 13, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
SeattleSEA
D. Joveljic (pen.) (67')
S. Munoz (pen.) (90')
J. Morris (15')
A. Rusnak (pen.) (27')
J. Ferreira (45')
Nouhou (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SEA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
Nouhou (Seattle Sounders) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by S. Munoz (pen.)
3-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Brody replaces K. Shelton
82'
Yellow Card
A. Rusnak (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Leyva replaces A. Rusnak
81'
Yellow Card
O. Vargas (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces L. Ndenbe
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Salloi
78'
Yellow Card
M. Garcia (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: R. Baker-Whiting replaces A. Roldan
67'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic (pen.)
3-1
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. de La Vega replaces J. Ferreira
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: R. Kent replaces P. Rothrock
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces S. Suleymanov
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces M. Rodriguez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Musovski replaces J. Morris
45'
Yellow Card
C. Roldan (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Ferreira
3-0
40'
Yellow Card
J. Bell (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
S. Suleymanov (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by A. Rusnak (pen.)
2-0
15'
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by P. Rothrock
1-0

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Seattle vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Seattle vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Seattle +100, Sporting KC +270, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-149/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Seattle: 44.7%
  • Sporting KC: 31.2%
  • Draw: 24.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Seattle 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 31.2%, while Seattle has a win probability of 44.7%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Seattle vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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