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Houston vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. San Diego FC MLS game on July 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Houston
4
3
Jul 6, 2:30AM Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, California)
San Diego FC
Jul 6, 2:30AM Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
M. Iloski (25')
L. Bombino (54')
O. Valakari (67')
L. Ennali (36')
F. Escobar (45')
E. Ponce (pen.) (88')
E. Ponce (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SD
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonSan Diego FCDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonSan Diego FCHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: T. Angel replaces A. Godoy
90'
Yellow Card
A. Bassi (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Holmes (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Ponce, assisted by E. Bartlow
4-3
90'
Yellow Card
E. Duenas (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Dorsey replaces A. Bassi
88'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Ponce (pen.)
3-3
84'
Yellow Card
O. Valakari (San Diego FC) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Duenas replaces O. Lingr
67'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari
2-3
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces L. Ennali
62'
Yellow Card
E. Bartlow (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
B. Raines (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: H. Lozano replaces A. Mighten
56'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces P. McNair
54'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by L. Bombino
2-2
53'
Yellow Card
O. Lingr (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by F. Escobar, assisted by E. Bartlow
2-1
36'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by L. Ennali, assisted by A. Bassi
1-1
25'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Iloski
0-1

Game Prediction Article

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Houston vs. San Diego FC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +450, San Diego FC -164, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-169/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 17.7%
  • San Diego FC: 62.0%
  • Draw: 20.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 1-2 San Diego FC, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Diego FC a win probability of 62.0%, while Houston has a win probability of 17.7%. The chance of a draw is 20.3%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. San Diego FC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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