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Miami vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Montreal MLS game on July 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLS
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MLS
Miami
4
1
Jul 5, 11:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
Montreal
Jul 5, 11:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
P. Owusu (2')
T. Allende (33')
L. Messi (40')
T. Segovia (60')
L. Messi (62')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiMontrealDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiMontrealHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
D. Martinez (Inter Miami) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: R. Sailor replaces M. Falcon
85'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Ibrahim replaces P. Owusu
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Picault replaces T. Allende
80'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces C. Clark
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Martinez replaces T. Aviles
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Redondo Solari replaces B. Cremaschi
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Rodriguez replaces T. Segovia
69'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Duke replaces D. Sealy
69'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: Y. Guboglo replaces T. Pearce
62'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by L. Suarez
4-1
60'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia, assisted by T. Allende
3-1
54'
Yellow Card
S. Busquets (Inter Miami) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Campbell replaces S. Piette
45'
Yellow Card
F. Alvarez (CF Montreal) cautioned
40'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
2-1
33'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende, assisted by L. Messi
1-1
2'
Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu
0-1

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Miami vs. Montreal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stade Saputo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Miami +200, Montreal +280, Draw +320

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Miami: 52.4%
  • Montreal: 26.6%
  • Draw: 21.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Miami 2-1 Montreal, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Montreal a win probability of 26.6%, while Miami has a win probability of 52.4%. The chance of a draw is 21.0%.

Summary

Our Miami vs. Montreal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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