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Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Cincinnati MLS game on July 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Chicago
1
2
Jul 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Jul 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
Evander (19')
K. Denkey (50')
P. Zinckernagel (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityChicagoCincinnatiDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityChicagoCincinnatiHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces Evander
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: C. Baird replaces K. Denkey
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Williams replaces P. Zinckernagel
90'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces S. Oregel
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces J. Bamba
76'
Yellow Card
J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. Smith replaces L. Orellano
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces B. Gutierrez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces K. Kamara
55'
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
1-2
53'
Yellow Card
K. Kamara (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
50'
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
L. Engel (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
19'
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by L. Orellano
0-1

Game Prediction Article

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Chicago vs. Cincinnati: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chicago +250, Cincinnati -110, Draw +310

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chicago: 25.7%
  • Cincinnati: 53.1%
  • Draw: 21.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Chicago 1-2 Cincinnati, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cincinnati a win probability of 53.1%, while Chicago has a win probability of 25.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.2%.

Summary

Our Chicago vs. Cincinnati predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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