Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Cincinnati MLS game on July 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Chicago

Jul 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)

Cincinnati

Jul 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

CincinnatiCIN

Score Summary

ChicagoCHI

Evander (19')

K. Denkey (50')

P. Zinckernagel (55')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

CIN

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

CHI

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces Evander

90'

Substitution for FC Cincinnati: C. Baird replaces K. Denkey

90'

Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Williams replaces P. Zinckernagel

90'

J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned

83'

Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces S. Oregel

83'

Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces J. Bamba

76'

J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned

73'

Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. Smith replaces L. Orellano

73'

Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso

73'

Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces B. Gutierrez

68'

Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces K. Kamara

55'

Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel

1-2

53'

K. Kamara (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

50'

Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey

0-2

45'

L. Engel (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

19'

Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by L. Orellano

0-1

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Chicago vs. Cincinnati: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Chicago vs. Cincinnati
Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: TQL Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Chicago +250, Cincinnati -110, Draw +310

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Chicago: 25.7%
Cincinnati: 53.1%
Draw: 21.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Chicago 1-2 Cincinnati, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cincinnati a win probability of 53.1%, while Chicago has a win probability of 25.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.2%.

Summary

Our Chicago vs. Cincinnati predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.