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St Louis City vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Houston MLS game on June 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
St Louis City
0
1
Jun 29, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Jun 29, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
E. Ponce (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySt Louis CityHoustonDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySt Louis CityHoustonHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces Felipe Andrade
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Lodeiro replaces A. Bassi
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces O. Lingr
77'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: K. Hiebert replaces J. Girdwood-Reich
72'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces J. Reid
67'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: X. Silva replaces C. Pompeu
66'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Ponce
0-1
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces E. Sviatchenko
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces C. Wallem
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces J. Zalinsky
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces D. Holmes
42'
Yellow Card
B. Lundt (St. Louis City) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
P. Ortiz (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
21'
Yellow Card
J. Reid (St. Louis City) cautioned
15'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Watts replaces A. Morales
2'
Yellow Card
J. Zalinsky (St. Louis City) cautioned

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St Louis City vs. Houston: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: St Louis City +360, Houston -140, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • St Louis City: 20.6%
  • Houston: 56.6%
  • Draw: 22.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is St Louis City 1-1 Houston, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Houston a win probability of 56.6%, while St Louis City has a win probability of 20.6%. The chance of a draw is 22.8%.

Summary

Our St Louis City vs. Houston predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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