Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Dallas MLS game on July 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Minnesota

Jul 5, 12:45AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

Dallas

Jul 5, 12:45AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

DallasFCD

Score Summary

MinnesotaMIN

L. Farrington (73')

C. Harvey (35')

A. Markanich (58')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

FCD

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

MIN

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for FC Dallas: Alvaro Augusto replaces P. Delgado

89'

Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces M. Farfan

87'

Substitution for Minnesota United: S. Jeong replaces J. Gressel

87'

Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Duggan replaces A. Markanich

81'

Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Diaz replaces N. Romero

73'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington, assisted by P. Musa

2-1

64'

Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces T. Oluwaseyi

64'

Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces K. Yeboah

59'

Substitution for FC Dallas: Ramiro replaces Kaick

59'

Substitution for FC Dallas: Pedrinho replaces S. Lletget

58'

Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by T. Oluwaseyi

2-0

47'

S. Moore (FC Dallas) cautioned

45'

K. Yeboah (Minnesota United) cautioned

38'

T. Oluwaseyi (Minnesota United) cautioned

35'

Goal scored for Minnesota United by C. Harvey, assisted by J. Gressel

1-0

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Minnesota vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
Time: 8:45 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +148, Dallas +180, Draw +270
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Minnesota: 40.2%
Dallas: 36.1%
Draw: 23.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Minnesota 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 36.1%, while Minnesota has a win probability of 40.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.6%.

Summary

Our Minnesota vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.