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Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Dallas MLS game on July 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLS
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MLS
Minnesota
2
1
Jul 5, 12:45AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
Jul 5, 12:45AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
L. Farrington (73')
C. Harvey (35')
A. Markanich (58')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMinnesotaDallasDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMinnesotaDallasHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Alvaro Augusto replaces P. Delgado
89'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces M. Farfan
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: S. Jeong replaces J. Gressel
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Duggan replaces A. Markanich
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Diaz replaces N. Romero
73'
Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington, assisted by P. Musa
2-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces T. Oluwaseyi
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces K. Yeboah
59'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Ramiro replaces Kaick
59'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Pedrinho replaces S. Lletget
58'
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by T. Oluwaseyi
2-0
47'
Yellow Card
S. Moore (FC Dallas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
K. Yeboah (Minnesota United) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
T. Oluwaseyi (Minnesota United) cautioned
35'
Goal scored for Minnesota United by C. Harvey, assisted by J. Gressel
1-0

Game Prediction Article

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Minnesota vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
  • Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +148, Dallas +180, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Minnesota: 40.2%
  • Dallas: 36.1%
  • Draw: 23.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Minnesota 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 36.1%, while Minnesota has a win probability of 40.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.6%.

Summary

Our Minnesota vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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