Sporting KC vs. Colorado Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Colorado MLS game on July 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Sporting KC
2
1
Jul 5, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)
Colorado
Jul 5, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ColoradoCOL
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
Rafael Navarro (pen.) (89')
D. Joveljic (4')
E. Thommy (53')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
COL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCColoradoDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCColoradoHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
89'
Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Rafael Navarro (pen.)
2-1
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces E. Thommy
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Stewart-Baynes replaces C. Harris
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: D. Yapi replaces J. Atencio
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic
64'
Yellow Card
J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: C. Bassett replaces T. Ku-DiPietro
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces S. Suleymanov
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces T. Leibold
53'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by J. Pulskamp
2-0
52'
Yellow Card
T. Leibold (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
M. Garcia (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: I. James replaces J. Fernandez
31'
Penalty missed by D. Mihailovic for Colorado Rapids
17'
Yellow Card
J. Fernandez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
4'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by E. Thommy
1-0

Game Prediction Article

Colorado Rapids vs. Sporting Kansas City Prediction, Odds, Picks, and MLS Season Pass Discount Code [7/4/2025]
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Sporting KC vs. Colorado: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Colorado
  • Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +350, Colorado -141, Draw +325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 24.4%
  • Colorado: 53.6%
  • Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-1 Colorado, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Colorado a win probability of 53.6%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 24.4%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. Colorado predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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