Sporting KC vs. Colorado Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Colorado MLS game on July 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Sporting KC

Jul 5, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)

Colorado

Jul 5, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

ColoradoCOL

Score Summary

Sporting KCSKC

Rafael Navarro (pen.) (89')

D. Joveljic (4')

E. Thommy (53')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

COL

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

SKC

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

89'

Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Rafael Navarro (pen.)

2-1

87'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces E. Thommy

81'

Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Stewart-Baynes replaces C. Harris

73'

Substitution for Colorado Rapids: D. Yapi replaces J. Atencio

73'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic

64'

J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

60'

Substitution for Colorado Rapids: C. Bassett replaces T. Ku-DiPietro

58'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces S. Suleymanov

57'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces T. Leibold

53'

Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by J. Pulskamp

2-0

52'

T. Leibold (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

48'

M. Garcia (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: I. James replaces J. Fernandez

31'

Penalty missed by D. Mihailovic for Colorado Rapids

17'

J. Fernandez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by E. Thommy

1-0

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Sporting KC vs. Colorado: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Sporting KC vs. Colorado
Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +350, Colorado -141, Draw +325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Sporting KC: 24.4%
Colorado: 53.6%
Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-1 Colorado, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Colorado a win probability of 53.6%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 24.4%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. Colorado predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.