Dallas vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Dallas vs. Sporting KC MLS game on June 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Dallas

Jun 15, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)

Sporting KC

Jun 15, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Sporting KCSKC

Score Summary

DallasFCD

S. Suleymanov (8')

K. Shelton (62')

S. Munoz (90')

P. Musa (11')

L. Acosta (pen.) (59')

B. Kamungo (69')

L. Acosta (82')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

SKC

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

FCD

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Torquato replaces L. Acosta

90'

Substitution for FC Dallas: A. Ramirez replaces A. A. Julio Santos

90'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic

90'

Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by S. Munoz, assisted by M. Garcia

4-2

90'

J. Fernandez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

90'

D. Salloi (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

90'

M. Rodriguez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

83'

Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa

82'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Acosta, assisted by N. Norris

4-1

78'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces L. Ndenbe

78'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces S. Suleymanov

69'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by B. Kamungo

3-1

66'

Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces Pedrinho

66'

Substitution for FC Dallas: N. Norris replaces S. Lletget

64'

L. Acosta (FC Dallas) cautioned

62'

K. Shelton (Sporting Kansas City) sent off for a second yellow card

60'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces J. Davis

60'

Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces E. Thommy

59'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Acosta (pen.)

2-1

49'

Pedrinho (FC Dallas) cautioned

45'

K. Shelton (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

45'

P. Musa (FC Dallas) cautioned

45'

A. A. Julio Santos (FC Dallas) cautioned

11'

Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by S. Moore

1-1

Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by S. Suleymanov, assisted by D. Joveljic

0-1

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Dallas vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Dallas vs. Sporting KC
Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Dallas +260, Sporting KC +120, Draw +270
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Dallas: 28.3%
Sporting KC: 48.5%
Draw: 23.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Dallas 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 48.5%, while Dallas has a win probability of 28.3%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Dallas vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.