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Sporting KC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Houston at the MLS on May 31, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
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Jun 1, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Jun 1, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
S. Kowalczyk (13')
D. Joveljic (45')
D. Joveljic (52')
S. Munoz (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces M. Garcia
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by S. Munoz, assisted by D. Salloi
3-1
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
G. Dorsey (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
D. Salloi (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Escobar replaces P. Ortiz
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces Artur
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces S. Kowalczyk
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces D. Joveljic
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces L. Ndenbe
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces E. Thommy
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces O. Lingr
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Junior Urso replaces B. Raines
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
2-1
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Brody replaces K. Shelton
B. Raines (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
1-1
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Kowalczyk, assisted by O. Lingr
0-1
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Sporting KC vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Sporting KC vs. Houston
- Date: Saturday, May 31, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sporting KC +290, Houston -110, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+105)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Sporting KC: 22.5%
- Houston: 54.6%
- Draw: 23.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.5% probability, while Houston sits at 54.6%, with the draw at 23.0%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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