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New England vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on May 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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May 25, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
May 25, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
D. Salloi (53')
D. Joveljic (pen.) (59')
M. Garcia (61')
T. Chancalay (14')
J. Bartlett (o.g.) (23')
M. Urruti (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Fernandez replaces J. Bartlett
Goal scored for New England Revolution by M. Urruti
3-3
Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Urruti replaces T. Beason
J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Rosero replaces R. Voloder
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Diaz replaces T. Chancalay
Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Omsberg replaces M. Fofana
M. Garcia (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for New England Revolution: B. Bye replaces I. Feingold
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by M. Garcia, assisted by E. Thommy
2-3
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic (pen.)
2-2
M. Fofana (New England Revolution) cautioned
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi
2-1
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces A. Brody
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: L. Ndenbe replaces T. Leibold
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
Goal scored for New England Revolution by J. Bartlett (o.g.)
2-0
Goal scored for New England Revolution by T. Chancalay
1-0
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New England vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' New England vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: New England vs. Sporting KC
- Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Children's Mercy Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: New England +200, Sporting KC +135, draw +250
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+112)
Dimers' win probabilities
- New England: 29.5%
- Sporting KC: 45.6%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.5% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 45.6%, with the draw at 24.9%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' New England vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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