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Houston vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. San Jose at the MLS on May 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
3
:
3
May 25, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
May 25, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
P. Judd (67')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (72')
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D. Munie (76')
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E. Ponce (32')
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Felipe Andrade (50')
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G. Dorsey (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Dorsey
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
P. Ortiz (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: R. Roberts replaces Vitor Costa
86'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Lima replaces D. Jones
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Olusanya replaces A. Bassi
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Lodeiro replaces B. Raines
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Escobar replaces Felipe Andrade
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye replaces B. Leroux
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces J. Martinez
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie, assisted by I. Harkes
2-3
72'
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Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by I. Harkes
2-2
67'
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Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by D. Jones
2-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces E. Ponce
64'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces H. Lopez
53'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade
2-0
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Ponce
1-0

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Houston vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +205, San Jose +130, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 30.9%
  • San Jose: 44.7%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.9% probability, while San Jose sits at 44.7%, with the draw at 24.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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