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Miami vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on May 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
3
:
3
May 24, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
May 24, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
Q. Sullivan (8')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (44')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (73')
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T. Allende (60')
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L. Messi (87')
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T. Segovia (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Redondo Solari (Inter Miami) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
2-3
86'
Yellow Card
J. Glesnes (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: F. Westfield replaces Q. Sullivan
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Picault replaces G. Lujan
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces I. Vassilev
76'
Yellow Card
J. Alba (Inter Miami) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
1-3
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces M. Uhre
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Weigandt replaces T. Aviles
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Segovia replaces I. Fray
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
1-2
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
0-2
42'
Yellow Card
I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
40'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Redondo Solari replaces Y. Bright
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by Q. Sullivan, assisted by K. Wagner
0-1

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Miami vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +165, Philadelphia +145, draw +275

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 29.5%
  • Philadelphia: 48.5%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.5% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 48.5%, with the draw at 22.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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