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Houston vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. NY City at the MLS on May 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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May 28, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
May 28, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Haak (o.g.) (26')
G. Segal (50')
G. Segal (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
N. Cavallo (New York City) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Segal (pen.)
3-0
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: P. Ortiz replaces N. Lodeiro
A. O'Neill (New York City) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces J. McGlynn
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces J. Shore
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Dorsey replaces Felipe Andrade
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces E. Duenas
Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces J. Haak
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces A. Martinez
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces H. Wolf
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Segal
2-0
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces Junior Urso
E. Duenas (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by J. Haak (o.g.)
1-0
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Houston vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Houston vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. NY City
- Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +440, NY City -150, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Houston: 21.6%
- NY City: 54.0%
- Draw: 24.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.6% probability, while NY City sits at 54.0%, with the draw at 24.4%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Houston vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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