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Chicago vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. NY City MLS game on May 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Chicago
1
3
May 25, 7PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
NY City
May 25, 7PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
M. Bakrar (58')
H. Wolf (70')
A. Martinez (pen.) (89')
P. Zinckernagel (19')
B. Gutierrez (31')
D. D'Avilla (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityChicagoNY CityDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityChicagoNY CityHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces J. Haak
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces A. Martinez
89'
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez (pen.)
1-3
84'
Red Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) sent off for a second yellow card
79'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces J. Fernandez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces S. Oregel
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces J. Dean
70'
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
1-2
60'
Yellow Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces P. Zinckernagel
58'
Goal scored for New York City by M. Bakrar
1-1
56'
Yellow Card
Thiago Martins (New York City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces T. Gray
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces J. Shore
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces J. Bamba
45'
Yellow Card
J. Dean (Chicago Fire) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
41'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces M. Pineda
31'
Red Card
B. Gutierrez (Chicago Fire) sent off with a straight red card
28'
Yellow Card
M. Moralez (New York City) cautioned
19'
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
J. Haak (New York City) cautioned

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Chicago vs. NY City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chicago +240, NY City +105, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-161/+138)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chicago: 25.8%
  • NY City: 51.1%
  • Draw: 23.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Chicago 1-1 NY City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives NY City a win probability of 51.1%, while Chicago has a win probability of 25.8%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Chicago vs. NY City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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