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Chicago vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. NY City at the MLS on May 25, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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May 25, 7PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
May 25, 7PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
M. Bakrar (58')
H. Wolf (70')
A. Martinez (pen.) (89')
P. Zinckernagel (19')
B. Gutierrez (31')
D. D'Avilla (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces J. Haak
Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces A. Martinez
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez (pen.)
1-3
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces J. Fernandez
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces S. Oregel
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces J. Dean
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
1-2
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces P. Zinckernagel
Goal scored for New York City by M. Bakrar
1-1
Thiago Martins (New York City) cautioned
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces T. Gray
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces J. Shore
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces J. Bamba
J. Dean (Chicago Fire) cautioned
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces M. Pineda
B. Gutierrez (Chicago Fire) sent off with a straight red card
M. Moralez (New York City) cautioned
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
1-0
J. Haak (New York City) cautioned
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Chicago vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Chicago vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Chicago vs. NY City
- Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chicago +240, NY City +105, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-161/+138)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Chicago: 25.8%
- NY City: 51.1%
- Draw: 23.2%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 NY City, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.8% probability, while NY City sits at 51.1%, with the draw at 23.2%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Chicago vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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