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Dallas vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on May 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
3
:
3
May 28, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
May 28, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
DallasFCD
P. Bucha (30')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
G. Valenzuela (87')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (50')
Soccer ball icon
A. A. Julio Santos (68')
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S. Ibeagha (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Ibeagha
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
C. Baird (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by G. Valenzuela
2-3
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces A. A. Julio Santos
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: C. Baird replaces D. Yedlin
78'
Yellow Card
T. Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces P. Bucha
74'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: L. Engel replaces L. Orellano
74'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces A. Powell
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by A. A. Julio Santos, assisted by Pedrinho
2-2
65'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces Kaick
64'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Kamara replaces Sergio Santos
62'
Yellow Card
P. Musa (FC Dallas) cautioned
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by S. Moore
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Pedrinho replaces B. Kamungo
44'
Yellow Card
Kaick (FC Dallas) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey (pen.)
0-2
36'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Abubakar replaces O. Urhoghide
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha
0-1
8'
Yellow Card
M. Farfan (FC Dallas) cautioned
2'
Yellow Card
A. Powell (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

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Dallas vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +450, Cincinnati -161, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 19.4%
  • Cincinnati: 59.2%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 1-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.4% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 59.2%, with the draw at 21.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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