Toronto vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Montreal MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Toronto

May 17, 6:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)

Montreal

May 17, 6:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

MontrealMTL

Score Summary

TorontoTOR

J. Waterman (21')

G. Vrioni (64')

T. Spicer (14')

F. Bernardeschi (30')

O. Brynhildsen (33')

F. Bernardeschi (55')

T. Corbeanu (66')

T. Corbeanu (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

MTL

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

TOR

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu, assisted by F. Bernardeschi

6-1

89'

D. Sealy (CF Montreal) cautioned

80'

Substitution for Toronto FC: H. Wingo replaces K. Thompson

76'

Substitution for CF Montreal: P. Owusu replaces L. Petrasso

70'

Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Longstaff replaces L. Insigne

66'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu

5-1

64'

Goal scored for CF Montreal by G. Vrioni, assisted by L. Petrasso

4-1

62'

Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces T. Spicer

62'

Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces O. Brynhildsen

58'

Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces J. Neal

57'

J. Neal (CF Montreal) cautioned

55'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by L. Insigne

4-0

46'

Substitution for CF Montreal: Y. Guboglo replaces N. Saliba

46'

Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces K. Long

45'

F. Alvarez (CF Montreal) cautioned

34'

Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Alvarez replaces T. Pearce

34'

Substitution for CF Montreal: V. Loturi replaces C. Clark

33'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by O. Brynhildsen

3-0

30'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by D. Flores

2-0

21'

J. Waterman (CF Montreal) sent off with a straight red card

14'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Spicer, assisted by O. Brynhildsen

1-0

K. Thompson (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Toronto vs. Montreal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Toronto vs. Montreal
Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
Time: 2:30 PM ET
Venue: Stade Saputo

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Toronto +350, Montreal -125, Draw +295
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Toronto: 21.3%
Montreal: 53.1%
Draw: 25.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Toronto 0-1 Montreal, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Montreal a win probability of 53.1%, while Toronto has a win probability of 21.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.6%.

Summary

Our Toronto vs. Montreal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.