Toronto vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Montreal MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Toronto
6
1
May 17, 6:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
Montreal
May 17, 6:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
J. Waterman (21')
G. Vrioni (64')
T. Spicer (14')
F. Bernardeschi (30')
O. Brynhildsen (33')
F. Bernardeschi (55')
T. Corbeanu (66')
T. Corbeanu (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOR
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTorontoMontrealDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTorontoMontrealHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu, assisted by F. Bernardeschi
6-1
89'
Yellow Card
D. Sealy (CF Montreal) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: H. Wingo replaces K. Thompson
76'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: P. Owusu replaces L. Petrasso
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Longstaff replaces L. Insigne
66'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu
5-1
64'
Goal scored for CF Montreal by G. Vrioni, assisted by L. Petrasso
4-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces T. Spicer
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces O. Brynhildsen
58'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces J. Neal
57'
Yellow Card
J. Neal (CF Montreal) cautioned
55'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by L. Insigne
4-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: Y. Guboglo replaces N. Saliba
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces K. Long
45'
Yellow Card
F. Alvarez (CF Montreal) cautioned
34'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Alvarez replaces T. Pearce
34'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: V. Loturi replaces C. Clark
33'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by O. Brynhildsen
3-0
30'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by D. Flores
2-0
21'
Red Card
J. Waterman (CF Montreal) sent off with a straight red card
14'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Spicer, assisted by O. Brynhildsen
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
K. Thompson (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Toronto vs. Montreal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stade Saputo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toronto +350, Montreal -125, Draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toronto: 21.3%
  • Montreal: 53.1%
  • Draw: 25.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Toronto 0-1 Montreal, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Montreal a win probability of 53.1%, while Toronto has a win probability of 21.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.6%.

Summary

Our Toronto vs. Montreal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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