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Houston vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Dallas MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
Houston
2
0
May 18, 1:25AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
May 18, 1:25AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
J. McGlynn (64')
G. Dorsey (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonDallasDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonDallasHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces J. McGlynn
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Junior Urso replaces A. Bassi
88'
Yellow Card
Pedrinho (FC Dallas) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
L. Acosta (FC Dallas) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces Ramiro
82'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces S. Moore
81'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Dorsey, assisted by T. Olusanya
2-0
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Olusanya replaces O. Lingr
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Abubakar replaces N. Norris
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Pomykal replaces Kaick
64'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by J. McGlynn
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Felipe Andrade replaces P. Ortiz
44'
Yellow Card
B. Raines (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
  • Time: 9:25 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +240, Dallas +130, Draw +225
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+110/-130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 28.0%
  • Dallas: 45.6%
  • Draw: 26.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 45.6%, while Houston has a win probability of 28.0%. The chance of a draw is 26.4%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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