Houston vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Dallas MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Houston

May 18, 1:25AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

Dallas

May 18, 1:25AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

DallasFCD

Score Summary

HoustonHOU

J. McGlynn (64')

G. Dorsey (81')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

FCD

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

HOU

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned

89'

Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces J. McGlynn

89'

Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Junior Urso replaces A. Bassi

88'

Pedrinho (FC Dallas) cautioned

84'

L. Acosta (FC Dallas) cautioned

84'

F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

82'

Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces Ramiro

82'

Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces S. Moore

81'

Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Dorsey, assisted by T. Olusanya

2-0

76'

Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Olusanya replaces O. Lingr

71'

Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Abubakar replaces N. Norris

71'

Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Pomykal replaces Kaick

64'

Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by J. McGlynn

1-0

46'

Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa

46'

Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Felipe Andrade replaces P. Ortiz

44'

B. Raines (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Houston vs. Dallas
Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
Time: 9:25 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Houston +240, Dallas +130, Draw +225
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+110/-130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Houston: 28.0%
Dallas: 45.6%
Draw: 26.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 45.6%, while Houston has a win probability of 28.0%. The chance of a draw is 26.4%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.