Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Atlanta MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Philadelphia
1
0
May 17, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Atlanta
May 17, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
T. Baribo (pen.) (59')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPhiladelphiaAtlantaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPhiladelphiaAtlantaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Mosquera (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Glesnes replaces M. Uhre
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: B. Slisz replaces P. Amador
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces J. Bueno
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Latte Lath replaces J. Thiare
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Mosquera replaces T. Muyumba
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces B. Damiani
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: D. Jean Jacques replaces A. Bedoya
59'
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo (pen.)
1-0
57'
Yellow Card
L. Abram (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces C. Donovan
21'
Yellow Card
A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
20'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces B. Lennon

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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +250, Atlanta +110, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 35.6%
  • Atlanta: 39.9%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atlanta a win probability of 39.9%, while Philadelphia has a win probability of 35.6%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Philadelphia vs. Atlanta predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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