Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Atlanta MLS game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Philadelphia

May 17, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)

Atlanta

May 17, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

AtlantaATL

Score Summary

PhiladelphiaPHI

T. Baribo (pen.) (59')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

ATL

0.0%

Draw

0.0%

PHI

100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

90'

E. Mosquera (Atlanta Utd) cautioned

90'

Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Glesnes replaces M. Uhre

86'

Substitution for Atlanta Utd: B. Slisz replaces P. Amador

71'

Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces J. Bueno

67'

Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Latte Lath replaces J. Thiare

67'

Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Mosquera replaces T. Muyumba

60'

Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces B. Damiani

60'

Substitution for Philadelphia Union: D. Jean Jacques replaces A. Bedoya

59'

Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo (pen.)

1-0

57'

L. Abram (Atlanta Utd) cautioned

49'

B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces C. Donovan

21'

A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

20'

Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces B. Lennon

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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +250, Atlanta +110, Draw +280
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Philadelphia: 35.6%
Atlanta: 39.9%
Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atlanta a win probability of 39.9%, while Philadelphia has a win probability of 35.6%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Philadelphia vs. Atlanta predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.