Sporting KC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. St Louis City MLS game on May 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Sporting KC
2
:
2
May 15, 12:45AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
May 15, 12:45AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
C. Pompeu (15')
C. Teuchert (45')
T. Leibold (71')
D. Joveljic (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCSt Louis CityDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCSt Louis CityHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic
85'
Yellow Card
J. Zalinsky (St. Louis City) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Girdwood-Reich replaces T. Ostrak
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Zalinsky replaces A. Watts
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: H. Kessler replaces T. Baumgartl
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces A. Brody
77'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by S. Suleymanov
2-2
71'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by T. Leibold, assisted by D. Salloi
1-2
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: X. Silva replaces C. Teuchert
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces N. Radoja
50'
Yellow Card
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces J. Davis
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces E. Thommy
45'
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Teuchert
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
D. Salloi (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
R. Voloder (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Pompeu
0-1

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Sporting KC vs. St Louis City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 8:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Energizer Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +270, St Louis City +100, Draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+132)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 26.1%
  • St Louis City: 50.3%
  • Draw: 23.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-1 St Louis City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives St Louis City a win probability of 50.3%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 26.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.6%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. St Louis City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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