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Sporting KC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
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MLS
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May 15, 12:45AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
May 15, 12:45AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
C. Pompeu (15')
C. Teuchert (45')
T. Leibold (71')
D. Joveljic (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic
J. Zalinsky (St. Louis City) cautioned
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Girdwood-Reich replaces T. Ostrak
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Zalinsky replaces A. Watts
Substitution for St. Louis City: H. Kessler replaces T. Baumgartl
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces A. Brody
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by S. Suleymanov
2-2
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by T. Leibold, assisted by D. Salloi
1-2
Substitution for St. Louis City: X. Silva replaces C. Teuchert
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces N. Radoja
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces J. Davis
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces E. Thommy
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Teuchert
0-2
D. Salloi (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
R. Voloder (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Pompeu
0-1
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Sporting KC vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Sporting KC vs. St Louis City
- Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
- Time: 8:45 PM ET
- Venue: Energizer Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sporting KC +270, St Louis City +100, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+132)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Sporting KC: 26.1%
- St Louis City: 50.3%
- Draw: 23.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.1% probability, while St Louis City sits at 50.3%, with the draw at 23.6%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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