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San Diego FC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Diego FC vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 10, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Diego FC
2
1
May 11, 12:30AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
May 11, 12:30AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
K. Hiebert (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (79')
Soccer ball icon
A. Dreyer (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SD
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by K. Hiebert
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
O. Verhoeven (San Diego FC) cautioned
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer
2-0
84'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces T. Baumgartl
81'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces W. Kumado
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Iloski, assisted by A. Godoy
1-0
73'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Reid replaces J. Horn
73'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
73'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: X. Silva replaces T. Ostrak
67'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Iloski replaces O. Valakari
59'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
O. Valakari (San Diego FC) cautioned

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San Diego FC vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Energizer Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +125, St Louis City +210, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 37.1%
  • St Louis City: 38.5%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Diego FC 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.1% probability, while St Louis City sits at 38.5%, with the draw at 24.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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