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Miami vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. San Jose at the MLS on May 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
3
:
3
May 15, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
May 15, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
C. Arango (3')
Soccer ball icon
B. Leroux (37')
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I. Harkes (45')
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M. Falcon (1')
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T. Allende (44')
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T. Allende (52')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Redondo Solari replaces Y. Bright
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Martinez replaces T. Segovia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye replaces I. Harkes
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: H. Lopez replaces A. Pellegrino
74'
Yellow Card
D. Romney (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
N. Allen (Inter Miami) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces M. Weigandt
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Floriani replaces Rodrigues
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Martinez replaces O. Bouda
66'
Yellow Card
O. Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Obando replaces B. Rodriguez
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
3-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Rodriguez replaces B. Cremaschi
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by I. Harkes
2-3
45'
Yellow Card
Vitor Costa (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
2-2
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux
1-2
31'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces C. Arango
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango, assisted by C. Espinoza
1-1
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Falcon
1-0

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Miami vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +155, San Jose +340, draw +335

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 39.0%
  • San Jose: 39.2%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.0% probability, while San Jose sits at 39.2%, with the draw at 21.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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