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Miami vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. San Jose MLS game on May 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Miami
3
:
3
May 15, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
May 15, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
C. Arango (3')
B. Leroux (37')
I. Harkes (45')
M. Falcon (1')
T. Allende (44')
T. Allende (52')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiSan JoseDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiSan JoseHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Redondo Solari replaces Y. Bright
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Martinez replaces T. Segovia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye replaces I. Harkes
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: H. Lopez replaces A. Pellegrino
74'
Yellow Card
D. Romney (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
N. Allen (Inter Miami) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces M. Weigandt
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Floriani replaces Rodrigues
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Martinez replaces O. Bouda
66'
Yellow Card
O. Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Obando replaces B. Rodriguez
52'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
3-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Rodriguez replaces B. Cremaschi
45'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by I. Harkes
2-3
45'
Yellow Card
Vitor Costa (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
44'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
2-2
37'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux
1-2
31'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces C. Arango
3'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango, assisted by C. Espinoza
1-1
1'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Falcon
1-0

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Miami vs. San Jose: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Miami +155, San Jose +340, Draw +335

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Miami: 39.0%
  • San Jose: 39.2%
  • Draw: 21.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Miami 1-1 San Jose, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Jose a win probability of 39.2%, while Miami has a win probability of 39.0%. The chance of a draw is 21.7%.

Summary

Our Miami vs. San Jose predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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