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LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on May 10, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA Galaxy
0
7
May 10, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY Red Bulls
May 10, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
E. M. Choupo-Moting (7')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (16')
Soccer ball icon
E. M. Choupo-Moting (31')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (50')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harper (68')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gjengaar (88')
Soccer ball icon
M. Yamane (o.g.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAG
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Yamane (o.g.)
0-7
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by D. Gjengaar, assisted by W. Bogacz
0-6
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: T. Lepley replaces D. Fagundez
78'
Yellow Card
E. Wynder (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: W. Bogacz replaces E. M. Choupo-Moting
76'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Hall replaces E. Forsberg
74'
Yellow Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
E. Cerrillo (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
M. Cuevas (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
N. Eile (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Harper
0-5
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces W. Carmona
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces M. Sofo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces D. Edelman
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces M. Reus
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces C. Ramirez
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg
0-4
49'
Yellow Card
J. Aude (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Cuevas replaces M. Berry
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: L. Sanabria replaces J. Nelson
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting, assisted by E. Forsberg
0-3
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg, assisted by O. Valencia
0-2
10'
Yellow Card
C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting, assisted by E. Forsberg
0-1

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LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy +310, NY Red Bulls -110, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 25.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 50.0%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is LA Galaxy 1-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.3% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 50.0%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' LA Galaxy vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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