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Miami vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Minnesota at the MLS on May 10, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
1
4
May 10, 8:30PM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Minnesota
May 10, 8:30PM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
B. Hlongwane (33')
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A. Markanich (45')
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M. Weigandt (o.g.) (68')
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R. Lod (70')
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L. Messi (48')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
80'
Yellow Card
G. Lujan (Inter Miami) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Aviles replaces T. Segovia
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: I. Fray replaces M. Weigandt
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Leo Afonso replaces Y. Bright
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: S. Jeong replaces T. Oluwaseyi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Gressel replaces B. Hlongwane
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by R. Lod, assisted by T. Oluwaseyi
1-4
68'
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Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Weigandt (o.g.)
1-3
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: K. Yeboah replaces J. Diaz
49'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Rosales replaces A. Markanich
49'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces F. Redondo Solari
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
1-2
45'
Yellow Card
M. Boxall (Minnesota United) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich
0-2
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by B. Hlongwane
0-1

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Miami vs. Minnesota: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Minnesota prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +190, Minnesota +140, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 33.4%
  • Minnesota: 42.3%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Minnesota, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.4% probability, while Minnesota sits at 42.3%, with the draw at 24.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Minnesota prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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