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Minnesota vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Houston at the MLS on May 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Minnesota
0
2
May 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
May 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
P. Ortiz (45')
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Felipe Andrade (77')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Junior Urso (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
T. Olusanya (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Olusanya replaces E. Ponce
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: C. Harvey replaces J. Diaz
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade
0-2
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Raines replaces P. Ortiz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces A. Bassi
69'
Yellow Card
R. Lod (Minnesota United) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces S. Jeong
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: R. Lod replaces W. Trapp
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Oluwaseyi replaces Jung Ho-yeon
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Pereyra replaces K. Chandler
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by P. Ortiz
0-1
40'
Yellow Card
P. Ortiz (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Minnesota vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +260, Houston +110, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Minnesota: 29.6%
  • Houston: 43.6%
  • Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.6% probability, while Houston sits at 43.6%, with the draw at 26.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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