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Austin vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Austin vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on May 10, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Austin
1
2
May 10, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
May 10, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
AustinAUS
Evander (12')
Soccer ball icon
G. Valenzuela (76')
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B. Vazquez (pen.) (48')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AUS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: D. Rubio replaces Z. Kolmanic
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Yedlin replaces L. Orellano
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: O. Bukari replaces M. Uzuni
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: J. Obrian replaces B. Sabovic
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by G. Valenzuela
1-2
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: N. Dubersarsky replaces I. Sanchez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces B. Vazquez
69'
Yellow Card
B. Sabovic (Austin FC) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces Sergio Santos
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces Y. Kubo
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by B. Vazquez (pen.)
1-1
45'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces M. Miazga
35'
Yellow Card
K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander
0-1

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Austin vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Austin vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +400, Cincinnati -154, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Austin: 19.1%
  • Cincinnati: 57.6%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Austin 0-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Austin is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.1% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 57.6%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Austin vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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