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New England vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Toronto at the MLS on May 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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New England
2
0
May 3, 8:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
May 3, 8:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
C. Gil (11')
Soccer ball icon
L. Campana (27')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NE
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Urruti replaces C. Gil
81'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: B. Bye replaces I. Feingold
81'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces L. Campana
74'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Sands replaces P. Miller
74'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Chancalay replaces I. Ganago
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces N. Gomis
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Insigne replaces M. Longstaff
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Spicer replaces O. Brynhildsen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces S. Rosted
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Campana, assisted by A. Yusuf
2-0
26'
Yellow Card
L. Campana (New England Revolution) cautioned
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by C. Gil
1-0

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New England vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' New England vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +220, Toronto +150, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+125/-140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • New England: 31.1%
  • Toronto: 40.2%
  • Draw: 28.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.1% probability, while Toronto sits at 40.2%, with the draw at 28.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' New England vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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