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Philadelphia vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Montreal at the MLS on May 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
2
1
May 3, 11:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
Montreal
May 3, 11:30PM Stade Saputo (Montreal, Quebec)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
G. Vrioni (45')
Soccer ball icon
I. Vassilev (2')
Soccer ball icon
M. Uhre (84')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Ibrahim replaces S. Piette
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces Q. Sullivan
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces J. Lukic
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre, assisted by J. Lukic
2-1
83'
Yellow Card
D. Sealy (CF Montreal) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: K. Opoku replaces T. Pearce
83'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: V. Loturi replaces N. Saliba
82'
Yellow Card
Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
76'
Yellow Card
N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces T. Baribo
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: N. Harriel replaces I. Vassilev
58'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: C. Clark replaces G. Vrioni
57'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: L. Petrasso replaces F. Herbers
56'
Yellow Card
G. Campbell (CF Montreal) cautioned
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces C. Donovan
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by G. Vrioni
1-1
36'
Yellow Card
T. Pearce (CF Montreal) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
F. Herbers (CF Montreal) cautioned
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev, assisted by D. Jean Jacques
1-0

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Philadelphia vs. Montreal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Montreal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stade Saputo
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +150, Montreal +450, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 42.7%
  • Montreal: 31.1%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 42.7% probability, while Montreal sits at 31.1%, with the draw at 26.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Montreal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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