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New England vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Toronto at the MLS on April 20, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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New England
0
1
Apr 20, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
Apr 20, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
P. Owusu (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NE
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces P. Owusu
85'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: E. Boateng replaces R. Spaulding
76'
Penalty missed by F. Bernardeschi for Toronto FC
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces M. Longstaff
72'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: B. Wood replaces G. Vrioni
72'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Chancalay replaces N. Gil
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by P. Owusu, assisted by J. Marshall-Rutty
0-1
65'
Yellow Card
M. Longstaff (Toronto FC) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Mabika replaces R. Petretta
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces K. Franklin
44'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Kaye replaces N. Buck
43'
Yellow Card
J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
M. Polster (New England Revolution) cautioned
30'
Yellow Card
N. Gil (New England Revolution) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
R. Petretta (Toronto FC) cautioned

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New England vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' New England vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, April 20, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +210, Toronto +130, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+116)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • New England: 34.1%
  • Toronto: 41.0%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.1% probability, while Toronto sits at 41.0%, with the draw at 24.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' New England vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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