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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Atlanta at the MLS on April 14, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
2
:
2
Apr 14, 6:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Atlanta
Apr 14, 6:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
D. Rios (55')
Soccer ball icon
C. Wiley (63')
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M. Uhre (73')
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K. Wagner (77')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. McGlynn (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
T. Muyumba (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by K. Wagner, assisted by N. Harriel
2-2
75'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre
1-2
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces J. Martinez
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by C. Wiley, assisted by E. Mosquera
0-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Mosquera replaces T. Wolff
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: Nick Firmino replaces D. Rios
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by D. Rios, assisted by T. Almada
0-1
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Semmle replaces A. Blake
35'
Yellow Card
J. Martinez (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
D. Gazdag (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
T. Almada (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
21'
Yellow Card
J. Carranza (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +185, Atlanta +128, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 33.2%
  • Atlanta: 42.9%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.2% probability, while Atlanta sits at 42.9%, with the draw at 23.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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