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Houston vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Chicago at the MLS on April 6, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
1
2
Apr 7, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Apr 7, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
X. Shaqiri (pen.) (10')
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B. Gutierrez (78')
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A. Ibrahim (65')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces Artur
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces K. Acosta
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Schmitt replaces E. Bartlow
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Blessing replaces S. Kowalczyk
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: F. Navarro replaces X. Shaqiri
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Koutsias replaces H. Cuypers
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by B. Gutierrez, assisted by X. Shaqiri
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces T. Salquist
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: B. Gutierrez replaces C. Mueller
68'
Yellow Card
R. Czichos (Chicago Fire) cautioned
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Ibrahim, assisted by A. Carrasquilla
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces J. Gregus
44'
Yellow Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by X. Shaqiri (pen.)
0-1

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Houston vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +230, Chicago +117, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 32.9%
  • Chicago: 40.1%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.9% probability, while Chicago sits at 40.1%, with the draw at 27.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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