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San Jose vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. Houston at the MLS on March 30, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Jose
1
2
Mar 31, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Mar 31, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
S. Ferreira (81')
Soccer ball icon
F. Escobar (85')
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B. R. Wilson Valdez (1')
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P. Judd (34')
Red Card icon
J. Yueill (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces S. Ferreira
90'
Red Card
J. Yueill (San Jose Earthquakes) sent off for a second yellow card
88'
Yellow Card
S. Ferreira (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
J. Yueill (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by F. Escobar, assisted by A. Ibrahim
1-2
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Ferreira, assisted by Artur
1-1
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ebobisse replaces B. Kikanovic
76'
Yellow Card
C. Akapo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces J. Gregus
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces E. Sviatchenko
56'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: C. Gruezo replaces A. Morales
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: C. Akapo replaces P. Marie
45'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
40'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces N. Tsakiris
34'
Red Card
P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) sent off with a straight red card
9'
Yellow Card
P. Marie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. R. Wilson Valdez, assisted by C. Espinoza
1-0

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San Jose vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Jose vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +400, Houston +175, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Jose: 18.6%
  • Houston: 57.4%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 0-1 Houston, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.6% probability, while Houston sits at 57.4%, with the draw at 24.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Jose vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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