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Cincinnati vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. NY City at the MLS on October 2, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Oct 2, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
Oct 2, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
M. Ilenic (16')
A. Martinez (65')
S. Rodriguez (pen.) (76')
L. Acosta (pen.) (69')
C. Baird (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Keller replaces D. Yedlin
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by C. Baird
2-3
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces S. Rodriguez
H. Wolf (New York City) cautioned
Substitution for New York City: T. Gray replaces M. Ilenic
Substitution for New York City: B. Risa replaces M. Moralez
A. Perea (New York City) cautioned
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Gioacchini replaces Y. Kubo
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: C. Baird replaces L. Orellano
Goal scored for New York City by S. Rodriguez (pen.)
1-3
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces A. Martinez
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Acosta (pen.)
1-2
Thiago Martins (New York City) cautioned
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez, assisted by S. Rodriguez
0-2
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: I. Murphy replaces A. Powell
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Asad replaces T. Hadebe
J. Sands (New York City) cautioned
K. Kelsy (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Goal scored for New York City by M. Ilenic, assisted by M. Moralez
0-1
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Cincinnati vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY City
- Date: Wednesday, October 2, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Red Bull Arena
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +300, NY City -110, draw +320
Dimers' win probabilities
- Cincinnati: 27.7%
- NY City: 49.6%
- Draw: 22.7%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-1 NY City, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.7% probability, while NY City sits at 49.6%, with the draw at 22.7%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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