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NY City vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY City vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on September 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY City
5
1
Sep 28, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY Red Bulls
Sep 28, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
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NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
D. Vanzeir (28')
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M. Moralez (5')
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A. Martinez (7')
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A. Perea (30')
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A. Martinez (45')
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T. Gray (68')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
P. Stroud (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces H. Wolf
79'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: B. Risa replaces M. Moralez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces D. Nealis
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by T. Gray, assisted by M. Moralez
5-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Donkor replaces F. Carballo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Hall replaces C. Harper
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces A. Martinez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. A. Ojeda replaces K. Parks
58'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg replaces D. Gjengaar
57'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Elias Manoel replaces D. Edelman
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez
4-1
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea
3-1
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by D. Vanzeir
2-1
14'
Yellow Card
A. Reyes (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez
2-0
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by M. Moralez
1-0

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NY City vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +240, NY Red Bulls +115, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY City: 25.1%
  • NY Red Bulls: 50.8%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.1% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 50.8%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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