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Houston vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. D.C. United at the MLS on June 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Jun 22, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
Jun 22, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
C. Benteke (pen.) (38')
C. Benteke (66')
M. Akinmboni (90')
S. Ferreira (pen.) (51')
S. Ferreira (54')
S. Ferreira (86')
G. Segal (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Akinmboni (DC United) sent off for a second yellow card
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by G. Segal, assisted by B. Smith
4-1
D. Steres (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Schmitt replaces H. Herrera
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces S. Ferreira
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Ferreira, assisted by B. Smith
3-1
Substitution for DC United: P. Santos replaces C. Dajome
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces G. Dorsey
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Escobar replaces I. Aliyu
L. Bartlett (DC United) cautioned
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces J. Murrell
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces A. Bassi
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Raines replaces L. Blessing
Substitution for DC United: Gabriel Pirani replaces M. Klich
C. Dajome (DC United) cautioned
C. Benteke (DC United) cautioned
C. Benteke (DC United) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Ferreira
2-1
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Ferreira (pen.)
1-1
M. Akinmboni (DC United) cautioned
Substitution for DC United: M. Akinmboni replaces G. Tubbs
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke (pen.)
0-1
J. Murrell (DC United) cautioned
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Houston vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Houston vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. D.C. United
- Date: Saturday, June 22, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Audi Field
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +220, D.C. United +120, draw +265
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-162/+118)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Houston: 33.7%
- D.C. United: 41.2%
- Draw: 25.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.7% probability, while D.C. United sits at 41.2%, with the draw at 25.1%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Houston vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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