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Seattle vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Seattle vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on June 8, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Seattle
1
2
Jun 9, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Jun 9, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
SeattleSEA
J. Russell (19')
Soccer ball icon
A. Vargas (85')
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J. Morris (13')
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R. Baker-Whiting (73')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SEA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
K. Shelton (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces A. Pulido
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces T. Leibold
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Musovski replaces J. Morris
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by A. Vargas, assisted by K. Shelton
1-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: A. Lopez replaces A. Rusnak
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: J. Atencio replaces Joao Paulo
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: C. Baker replaces R. Ruidiaz
73'
Red Card
R. Baker-Whiting (Seattle Sounders) sent off for a second yellow card
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces J. Davis
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Hernandez replaces M. Rodriguez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Vargas replaces D. Salloi
71'
Yellow Card
J. Russell (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
O. Vargas (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
R. Baker-Whiting (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Russell
1-1
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by Joao Paulo
1-0

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Seattle vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Seattle vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Seattle vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle +185, Sporting KC +150, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Seattle: 33.6%
  • Sporting KC: 39.9%
  • Draw: 26.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Seattle 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Seattle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.6% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 39.9%, with the draw at 26.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Seattle vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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