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Cincinnati vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. Toronto at the MLS on May 25, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Cincinnati
4
3
May 25, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
May 25, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
D. Flores (25')
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I. Murphy (o.g.) (63')
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L. Insigne (pen.) (85')
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L. Orellano (53')
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K. Kelsy (55')
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L. Orellano (79')
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S. Santos (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CIN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by S. Santos
4-3
90'
Yellow Card
L. Insigne (Toronto FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
K. Kelsy (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Asad replaces L. Orellano
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Insigne (pen.)
3-3
83'
Yellow Card
M. Robinson (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Orellano, assisted by S. Santos
3-2
78'
Yellow Card
K. Long (Toronto FC) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Long replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
72'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Santos replaces G. Valenzuela
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces D. Flores
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces J. Osorio
65'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Yedlin replaces B. Halsey
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by I. Murphy (o.g.)
2-2
60'
Yellow Card
L. Orellano (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
M. Longstaff (Toronto FC) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces T. Spicer
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Kelsy
2-1
53'
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Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Orellano
1-1
33'
Yellow Card
D. Flores (Toronto FC) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Flores, assisted by L. Insigne
0-1

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Cincinnati vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, May 25, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +140, Toronto +195, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 43.3%
  • Toronto: 31.3%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.3% probability, while Toronto sits at 31.3%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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