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Dallas vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. Houston at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
1
:
1
May 19, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
May 19, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
DallasFCD
A. Bassi (45')
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P. Musa (69')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces M. Gaines
90'
Yellow Card
G. Segal (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Ansah replaces B. Kamungo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Gaines replaces H. Herrera
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Schmitt replaces D. Steres
81'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Lletget replaces J. Ferreira
81'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Tarbell replaces S. Clark
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa
1-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Blessing replaces S. Kowalczyk
65'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces N. Norris
65'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: C. F. Sainte replaces P. Delgado
57'
Yellow Card
N. Norris (FC Dallas) cautioned
54'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: H. Endeley replaces E. Twumasi
54'
Yellow Card
S. Kowalczyk (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Bassi
0-1

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Dallas vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +450, Houston -140, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 19.6%
  • Houston: 55.0%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 0-1 Houston, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.6% probability, while Houston sits at 55.0%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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