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New England vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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May 11, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
May 11, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
L. Morgan (6')
E. Forsberg (pen.) (43')
Elias Manoel (84')
C. Harper (90')
C. Gil (24')
G. Vrioni (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for New England Revolution by G. Vrioni
2-3
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Harper
2-4
Substitution for New England Revolution: N. Buck replaces D. Borrero
Substitution for New England Revolution: E. Boateng replaces A. Farrell
Substitution for New England Revolution: I. Harkes replaces M. Kaye
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: A. Reyes replaces N. Eile
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces W. Carmona
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by Elias Manoel
1-3
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces E. Forsberg
T. Chancalay (New England Revolution) cautioned
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Elias Manoel replaces D. Vanzeir
D. Borrero (New England Revolution) cautioned
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Borrero replaces E. Bajraktarevic
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg (pen.)
1-2
H. Kessler (New England Revolution) cautioned
Goal scored for New England Revolution by C. Gil, assisted by T. Chancalay
1-1
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by L. Morgan, assisted by S. Nealis
0-1
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New England vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' New England vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: New England vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Red Bull Arena
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: New England +500, NY Red Bulls -200, draw +330
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+114)
Dimers' win probabilities
- New England: 17.0%
- NY Red Bulls: 61.8%
- Draw: 21.2%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 0-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.0% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 61.8%, with the draw at 21.2%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' New England vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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