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D.C. United vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for D.C. United vs. Atlanta at the MLS on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
3
2
May 11, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
May 11, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
T. Almada (pen.) (16')
M. Peltola (o.g.) (48')
C. Benteke (19')
C. Benteke (44')
C. Benteke (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for DC United: P. Santos replaces C. Benteke
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: Nick Firmino replaces B. Slisz
C. Antley (DC United) cautioned
(DC United) cautioned
Substitution for DC United: G. Tubbs replaces J. Hopkins
L. Abram (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: D. Rios replaces S. Lobjanidze
Substitution for DC United: Gabriel Pirani replaces J. Stroud
G. Giakoumakis (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: X. Silva replaces T. Muyumba
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke, assisted by M. Klich
3-2
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by M. Peltola (o.g.)
2-2
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces T. Ku-DiPietro
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: D. McCarty replaces E. Mosquera
Substitution for DC United: C. Antley replaces C. Dajome
T. Almada (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke, assisted by J. Stroud
2-1
C. Dajome (DC United) cautioned
B. Slisz (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke, assisted by J. Stroud
1-1
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Almada (pen.)
0-1
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D.C. United vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' D.C. United vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: D.C. United vs. Atlanta
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: D.C. United +330, Atlanta -140, draw +350
Dimers' win probabilities
- D.C. United: 21.8%
- Atlanta: 58.4%
- Draw: 19.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is D.C. United 1-2 Atlanta, with a probability of 9%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
D.C. United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.8% probability, while Atlanta sits at 58.4%, with the draw at 19.9%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' D.C. United vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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