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Seattle vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Seattle vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on March 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Mar 26, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Mar 26, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
W. Agada (5')
B. Sweat (63')
J. Morris (23')
J. Morris (54')
J. Morris (69')
J. Morris (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Kitahara replaces C. Roldan
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Leyva replaces Joao Paulo
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Teves replaces J. Morris
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: E. Dobbelaere replaces K. Rowe
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces G. Zusi
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Flores replaces W. Agada
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: F. Montero replaces L. Chu
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by L. Chu
4-1
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: C. Duke replaces E. Thommy
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by N. Lodeiro
3-1
B. Sweat (Sporting Kansas City) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Russell replaces K. Shelton
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris
2-1
B. Sweat (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Hernandez replaces R. Espinoza
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by L. Chu
1-1
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by W. Agada
0-1
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Seattle vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Seattle vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Seattle vs. Sporting KC
- Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Children's Mercy Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Seattle +240, Sporting KC +115, draw +255
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-110)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Seattle: 29.1%
- Sporting KC: 43.9%
- Draw: 26.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Seattle 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Seattle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.1% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 43.9%, with the draw at 26.9%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Seattle vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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