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Chicago vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Miami at the MLS on March 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
3
2
Mar 25, 11:30PM DRV PNK Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)
Miami
Mar 25, 11:30PM DRV PNK Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
F. Negri (45')
Soccer ball icon
N. Stefanelli (76')
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C. Mueller (30')
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C. Teran (38')
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K. Kamara (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by K. Kamara
3-2
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Cremaschi replaces Jean Mota
85'
Yellow Card
N. Stefanelli (Inter Miami) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces R. Pizarro
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: H. Neville replaces F. Negri
79'
Yellow Card
C. Teran (Chicago Fire) cautioned
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by N. Stefanelli
2-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. Aceves replaces M. Haile-Selassie
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Casas replaces F. Herbers
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Kamara replaces K. Przybylko
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Burks replaces A. Souquet
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Lassiter replaces V. Ulloa
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: S. Borgelin replaces C. Jean
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces G. Gimenez
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by F. Negri, assisted by Jean Mota
2-1
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by C. Teran
2-0
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by C. Mueller
1-0
13'
Yellow Card
D. Yedlin (Inter Miami) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Miami: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Miami prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: DRV PNK Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +280, Miami +105, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-109/-108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 23.5%
  • Miami: 52.1%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 Miami, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.5% probability, while Miami sits at 52.1%, with the draw at 24.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Miami prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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