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St Louis City vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Portland at the MLS on March 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
2
1
Mar 12, 3:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
Portland
Mar 12, 3:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PortlandPOR
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
Z. McGraw (3')
Soccer ball icon
J. Stroud (45')
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K. Hiebert (75')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
POR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: L. A. Bartlett replaces J. Nelson
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: M. Loria replaces C. Bravo
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Gutierrez replaces S. Moreno
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by K. Hiebert, assisted by E. Lowen
2-1
74'
Yellow Card
Z. McGraw (Portland Timbers) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Watts replaces I. Vassilev
72'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Gioacchini replaces R. Alm
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Niezgoda replaces Evander
68'
Yellow Card
S. Moreno (Portland Timbers) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces J. Stroud
66'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces M. Perez
65'
Yellow Card
M. Perez (St. Louis City) cautioned
54'
Yellow Card
D. Zuparic (Portland Timbers) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by J. Stroud
1-1
29'
Yellow Card
J. Stroud (St. Louis City) cautioned
12'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: Evander replaces C. Paredes
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by Z. McGraw, assisted by E. Williamson
0-1

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St Louis City vs. Portland: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Portland prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Portland
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Providence Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +750, Portland -130, draw +440
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 23.8%
  • Portland: 53.5%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Portland, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.8% probability, while Portland sits at 53.5%, with the draw at 22.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Portland prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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