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Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Dallas at the MLS on February 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Minnesota
1
0
Feb 26, 1:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
Feb 26, 1:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
M. Garcia (48')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
90 Mins
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Oluwaseyi replaces R. Lod
82'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Mulato replaces P. Pomykal
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Rosales replaces F. Fragapane
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Geovane Jesus replaces E. Twumasi
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces S. Lletget
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Cerrillo replaces F. Quignon
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: H. Dotson replaces M. Garcia
62'
Yellow Card
M. Farfan (FC Dallas) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
M. Tapias (Minnesota United) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Garcia
1-0
24'
Yellow Card
W. Trapp (Minnesota United) cautioned

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Minnesota vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +360, Dallas -109, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+102/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Minnesota: 20.1%
  • Dallas: 57.0%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 0-1 Dallas, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.1% probability, while Dallas sits at 57.0%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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