Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Phillies MLB game on May 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
2
5
May 17, 10:05PM Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
May 17, 10:05PM Citizens Bank Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 0
Phillies
1 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 X 5 10 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Pirates PIT
Win %
0%
100%
Phillies PHI
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alexander Canario grounds out to shallow infield, Alec Bohm to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF400000300.000
2 A. McCutchen DH310001300.250
3 B. Reynolds RF31221100.6672.417
4 J. Bart C400000200.000
5 A. Canario LF200000000.000
6 N. Solak 1B300000100.000
7 K. Hayes 3B30100020.3330.666
8 A. Frazier 2B300000000.000
9 I. Kiner-Falefa SS30100000.3330.666
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Stott 2B52231010.41.400
2 T. Turner SS51100010.20.400
3 B. Harper 1B30210100.6671.750
4 K. Schwarber DH40110020.250.750
5 N. Castellanos RF40100000.250.750
6 M. Kepler LF300001100.250
7 J. Realmuto C30100100.3330.833
8 A. Bohm 3B41100010.250.500
9 B. Marsh CF31100110.3331.167

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Pirates vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
  • Time: 6:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates +270, Phillies -315

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 27%
  • Phillies: 73%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 27%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.