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Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Pirates MLB game on May 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Padres
9
4
May 2, 10:40PM PNC Park
Pirates
May 2, 10:40PM PNC Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 1 9 14 0
Pirates
0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 4 7 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Padres SD
Win %
100%
0%
Pirates PIT
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Joey Bart hits into a force out to shallow infield. Andrew McCutchen out at second.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Lockridge LF111100012.000
2 L. Arraez 1B51330000.61.400
3 M. Machado 3B41100110.250.650
4 G. Sheets DH51321020.61.800
5 X. Bogaerts SS42100110.250.650
6 J. Iglesias 2B400000000.200
7 T. Wade CF41210010.51.000
8 J. Heyward RF41110010.250.450
9 E. Díaz C200000100.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF320002100.400
2 B. Reynolds RF40210100.51.100
3 A. McCutchen DH40100010.250.650
4 E. Valdez 2B500100100.000
5 J. Bart C310001200.400
6 K. Hayes 3B40100020.250.500
7 M. Gorski 1B100000000.000
8 A. Canario LF30110110.3330.833
9 J. Triolo SS40100000.250.750

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Padres vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Padres vs. Pirates
  • Date: Friday, May 2, 2025
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Padres -130, Pirates +120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Padres: 59%
  • Pirates: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 59%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.

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